CS60 has retained the Finnish company Capful to run the scenarios workshops. Capful has worked with a number of high-profile clients over the last 20+ years including Collaborating with Shell – The digitalisation of society scenarios sketch as well as The Energy Future Project – Finnish Energy, among many others. For Which Way Nigeria, the team includes its founder Arto Kaunonen.
The initial workshop took place in October 2021, with Madam Oby Ezekwesili and Professor Pat Utomi providing keynote addresses. Both need no introduction – their impact on Nigeria and society at large extends over decades. Their grasp on the policy front as well as their advocacy for a new type of politics aligns very well with the goals of our collective initiative.
The second, third and fourth workshops took place in November 2022, February 2023 and March 2023. Based on the workshops and the input from experts, participants created four scenarios – Greenland, Land of Hustle, Land of Lost Hope and Bloodland – which will serve as “memories of the future”, attesting to Nigeria’s possible trajectories until 2060 when the country turns 100.
With the scenarios and policy papers, working groups will start at 2060 – a just, sustainable and resilient Nigeria – and work backward. 2055, 2050, 2045, 2040, etc. Short five-year plans will be created, with intended milestones pegged to the year, such as
- A policy’s thorough implementation, such as % of women in elected bodies;
- A percentage in renewables reach, indigenous food production, and access to clean water and sanitation;
- Compromise, dialogue, and empathy (CDE) courses rolled out in school curriculum;
- Introduction of bike lanes in Lagos and the reduction of “go-slows”, as well as the uptake in other large cities throughout the country;
- How “together” the country feels / reduction of toxicity through the social cohesion survey.
Timing and scale are crucial, so it is important to start slow, demonstrate progress and build upon that. This aspect, implementing change and communicating results, is the core of Citizen Scenarios. To shift the paradigm, initial small steps need to be executed to perfection, showing that a shift is possible and is indeed taking place.
To be sustainable, an arms-length secretariat from both the private sector and the government needs to exist. That small secretariat will be charged with communicating the change taking place on an annual basis, through an Annual Report (Card). That secretariat will act as a voice of the people and a bullhorn communicating the process’s progress.